Insider Tips - Weekly Stock Market Report - Week September 15, 2025

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Weekly Insider Tips - September 15, 2025

This week, let me share how rare and exciting this current market melt-up has been, with all four of my green lights signaling full bullish conditions. The Fed’s expected rate cut is fueling optimism, driving the major indexes to fresh all-time highs. While there are signs of pullbacks and short-term volatility, the bigger trend remains strong, and opportunities continue to show up across key stocks and sectors. My focus this week was on market sentiment, index strength, and specific names like Nvidia, MicroStrategy, Palantir, Apple, and Tesla, each showing unique setups and lessons.

Market Trends & Technical Analysis

The market is in rare territory right now—a full melt-up. After last week’s three green lights, we’re back to four, which means conditions are fully green. The S&P 500, NASDAQ, Dow, and NYSE all hit new all-time highs, though some reversal candles suggest short-term corrections may be on the horizon. Typically, when markets run for multiple days in a row, we see pullbacks to shake out weak hands before the trend continues.

Volatility is low, with the VIX dipping under 15, signaling a very calm market environment. Historically, such low volatility has been bullish but can also hint that traders are complacent—something to watch. The Fed’s likely rate cut next week is already being priced in, meaning the actual announcement could spark short-term whipsaws.

The disk drive index stood out as an example of sector strength, surging from 300 in April to 750. That kind of parabolic move raises risk, but it highlights just how strong momentum has been in tech and semis.

Key Stocks & Individual Setups

Nvidia (NVDA): After a monster run, Nvidia has stalled a bit near its highs. It’s holding just a few points below its all-time high, showing consolidation rather than weakness. Longer-term, it’s still a leader.
MicroStrategy (MSTR): This Bitcoin proxy has been beaten down from $457 to the low $300s but is now showing signs of support. If Bitcoin continues its long-term uptrend, MSTR could rebound.
Palantir (PLTR): After a gap-up run, chasing the stock proved costly as it fell from $190 to $142. It’s now rounding out a base, showing potential for a recovery. The key lesson here: don’t chase stocks.
Apple (AAPL): Apple continues to consolidate in a wide range between $169 and $260. While its latest product event failed to inspire, Apple remains a “big blob” stock that steadily grows without much innovation. Long-term it’s stable, but near-term, not exciting.
Tesla (TSLA): Tesla is the standout this week. It broke out near $367 with strong volume, confirming a bullish setup. However, with the stock extended, a pullback would offer a better entry. Tesla remains one of the most interesting charts in the market.

Key Takeaways

We are in a rare melt-up environment with all four green lights signaling bullishness.
Pullbacks are natural after extended runs—don’t mistake them for trend reversals.
Sector strength is broad, from semiconductors to large-cap tech.
Individual stocks show different stages of their cycle: Nvidia consolidating, MicroStrategy bottoming, Palantir recovering, Apple stagnating, and Tesla breaking out.
Chasing stocks can be dangerous—discipline and patience pay off.

Conclusion

In summary, this is a rare green market, driven by Fed policy expectations and broad bullish momentum. Major indexes are at record highs, volatility is low, and individual stocks continue to offer both opportunities and lessons. The key now is to stay invested, avoid chasing parabolic moves, and prepare for normal pullbacks within a broader uptrend. For now, the trend is your friend—and it’s green.

Current Market Condition:

The market is in a rare “melt-up” phase, with all four of my green lights signaling full bullish conditions. Major indexes like the S&P 500, NASDAQ, Dow, and NYSE are all hitting fresh all-time highs, while the volatility index (VIX) has dropped below 15, showing a calm and confident market environment. Although we may see short-term pullbacks after several strong days in a row, the broader trend remains decisively bullish, fueled by optimism around an expected Fed rate cut. This is not a market I’d want to short—it’s one to participate in while conditions stay green.

Stock Tip of the Week:

In this week’s video, I take a close look at Amazon (AMZN) and AppLovin (APP), two stocks with critical setups developing. From earnings trends to fundamentals, plus a classic cup-and-handle pattern on the charts, I break down what traders and investors need to know right now.

Want predictable cash flow from stocks you already own? In this video, let me explain covered calls in plain English — what they are, why investors use them, the trade-offs, and a simple step-by-step plan to get started. Perfect for beginners who want to add income to dividends and reduce downside risk a little.