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Insider Tips - Weekly Stock Market Report - Week December 15, 2025

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Market Pulse December 15, 2025

In this week’s Insider Tips, I walked through a market that remains firmly green, with four green lights still in place and several major indexes pushing to or holding near all-time highs. While tech has been choppy and leadership has rotated away from some of the mega-cap names, money continues to flow into the broader market, particularly the S&P 500, Dow, and NYSE Composite. Volatility continues to compress as the VIX falls below key moving averages, which supports a constructive environment for income strategies. At the same time, select stocks are showing very different behaviors—some breaking out cleanly, others stalling or pulling back—reinforcing the importance of staying selective, disciplined, and focused on cash flow in a green market  

Technical Analysis & Market Structure

The overall market structure remains healthy, with three out of four major indexes trending higher. The S&P 500, Dow Jones, and NYSE Composite are all near or at all-time highs, signaling strong institutional participation. The NASDAQ, however, is lagging and continues to churn—hovering below its 50-day moving average while remaining above the 200-day. This divergence suggests rotation rather than broad market weakness.

Volatility continues to ease, with the VIX falling below its 50-day moving average, a classic signal that risk appetite is improving and money is actively being deployed. The Dow Jones Transportation Index is also trending higher, confirming economic activity and supporting the broader bullish thesis through Dow Theory confirmation  

 

Market Trends & Sector Rotation

One of the clearest themes right now is sector rotation. Technology and semiconductors—leaders earlier in the cycle—are pausing as capital rotates into more defensive or diversified areas of the market. This is not unusual in extended green markets and often creates new income opportunities while leadership consolidates.

The computer-heavy NASDAQ reflects this pause, as several former leaders struggle to regain momentum. Meanwhile, transports and broader indexes continue to push higher, reinforcing that this is a healthy rotation, not a breakdown  

Individual Stock Highlights

  • Apple (AAPL): Still in a breakout structure and holding near all-time highs. The pullback is occurring on light volume, which is constructive, though I’d like to see stronger relative strength reassert itself.

  • NVIDIA (NVDA): Currently living below the 50-day moving average, which often creates friction for upside progress. Needs to reclaim that level to regain leadership status.

  • Microsoft (MSFT): Bounced off the 200-day but remains below the 50-day, with relative strength weakening. The broader tech sector needs improvement for this to regain momentum.

  • Tesla (TSLA): Consolidating in a sell-zone area, above both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, but showing limited upside momentum near prior highs.

  • AppLovin (APP): Sitting near a breakout point with strong relative strength and light-volume pullback—technically constructive.

  • Analog Devices (ADI): A recent breakout that followed through nicely, validating the technical setup discussed earlier.

  • Broadcom (AVGO): Experienced a sharp earnings-related gap down despite strong results, reinforcing why earnings trades carry elevated risk. Key support at the 50-day must hold.

  • AMD & Semiconductors: Showing signs of potential gap-fills and testing lower levels, underscoring ongoing pressure in the chip space.

  • Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM): Failed breakout attempt and now testing the 50-day—needs stabilization.

  • Carvana (CVNA): A dramatic turnaround story, breaking out of an early-stage base after a massive recovery from its lows. Impressive technically, but extended and difficult to chase at these levels.

  • Natural Gas: Continues to lag despite broader energy strength, reminding us that not all sectors recover quickly.

  • Blackstone (BX): Holding near key moving averages but lacking upside momentum, despite a macro backdrop that should be supportive  

Key Takeaways

  • The green market remains intact, supported by strong index participation and declining volatility.

  • Rotation is the story, not weakness—capital is simply moving away from extended tech leadership.

  • Earnings remain unpredictable; risk management matters, especially around earnings events.

  • Selectivity is critical—some stocks are breaking out cleanly, while others need time to repair.

  • This environment continues to favor income-focused strategies over aggressive chasing.

Conclusion

Overall, this is still a constructive market environment, even with tech taking a breather. As long as volatility remains contained and the majority of indexes stay in uptrends, the green market backdrop supports disciplined cash-flow generation. The key is staying patient, letting setups come to you, and avoiding the temptation to chase extended names while rotation plays out.

 

Current Market Condition:

The market continues to flash green with all four major indicators still aligned, reinforcing a favorable environment for income strategies. Several indexes, including the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and NYSE Composite, are sitting at or near all-time highs, signaling steady institutional participation. While the NASDAQ remains the weakest of the group and is churning below its 50-day moving average, the strength in three out of four indexes suggests the broader market trend remains intact. Volatility continues to contract, with the VIX falling below key moving averages, confirming that money is flowing into the market. Overall, this green market backdrop supports staying engaged, selective, and focused on squeezing cash flow while conditions remain favorable.

 

Stock Tips This Week:

🚨 The One Rule That Protects Everything

In this video, Mark breaks down the most overlooked — yet most important — rule in trading: setting a circuit breaker. If you’re selling options, running covered calls, or building a Cash Flow Machine, this simple safeguard can protect your capital, your discipline, and months of hard-earned income. You’ll learn how loss limits and behavior rules stop emotional decisions, prevent revenge trading, and keep your strategy working even on bad market days.

 

🛑 The Hidden Threats to Retirement Income

In this video, Mark reveals three overlooked risks that quietly derail retirement plans—and explains how a rules-based weekly cash flow approach can help address them. You’ll see why traditional buy-and-hold strategies leave investors exposed to inflation and volatility, and how consistent premium income and risk management can play a critical role in building a more resilient retirement plan.

 

💡 Why Income Matters More Than the Number

In this video, Mark explains why a high net worth alone doesn’t guarantee retirement security—and how focusing on weekly cash flow can change the equation. You’ll learn the critical difference between paper assets and spendable income, why volatility can disrupt number-based retirement plans, and how a rules-driven, risk-managed cash flow approach can provide more stability, control, and confidence over time.