Insider Tips - Weekly Stock Market Report - Week May 5, 2025

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Weekly Insider Tips - April 28, 2025

For this week, I’m seeing a green market overall, which is great — although I’m still cautious about the long-term picture. I just wrapped up my mastermind presentation, and we’ve got four green lights flashing, indicating positive momentum. But let’s not forget, this market still has its challenges. I walked through the broader market indices like the NASDAQ, Dow, and NYSE — all showing some strength — and then did a deep dive into individual stocks like Apple, NVIDIA, MicroStrategy, Palantir, and others. Some charts look strong, others not so much. The key takeaway: follow the trend, focus on strong setups, and keep generating income through covered calls if you're using the Cash Flow Machine strategy.

 

📊 Technical Analysis & Market Trends

The overall market is showing signs of strength right now — we’ve got four green lights, and most major indices are trading above or around their 50- or 200-day moving averages. That’s a good technical signal, especially if the trend continues. But remember, the market isn’t always rational — it still "feels like 2008" in some ways, with echoes of recessionary signals, layoffs, and macro uncertainty.

NASDAQ:
We saw a sharp downtrend earlier in the year that followed my "dreaded H" pattern — which correctly signaled a 3,000+ point drop. After that, the market bounced from around 14,784 to 17,784, and now it looks like it wants to test 18,281, which coincides with the 200-day moving average. That level could be resistance — or, if broken, it could become a launching pad for another leg up. There are also a couple of gaps on the chart, which typically get filled — so expect possible short-term pullbacks before any sustained rally.

Dow Jones & NYSE:
The Dow is hugging its 50-day moving average, showing a similar bounce pattern but less strength than the NASDAQ. The NYSE is currently the most bullish — testing its 200-day moving average, which could act as either resistance or support. We’re currently in a zone of indecision, and the battle between bulls and bears is playing out.

Volatility Index (VIX):
The panic index got as high as 60.03 but has since dropped below its 50-day moving average, a sign that fear is subsiding — at least for now.

📈 Individual Stocks Breakdown

Apple (AAPL):
Despite a strong earnings report, the chart still looks weak. Apple may no longer be a true growth stock — earnings growth in the 8–12% range isn’t enough to excite big money. The bounce off the lows was nice, but technically it remains unimpressive.

NVIDIA (NVDA):
This chart mirrors Apple’s weakness — bearish overall, despite a massive previous run. Until it reclaims the 50-day moving average with strong volume, it's not a buy. The weekly chart has looked tired for a while, and I’ve been calling that out for weeks.

MicroStrategy (MSTR):
This is one of the strongest-looking charts I’m watching. The company’s Bitcoin exposure is the real story — not the software business. It’s bounced off the 200-day moving average four times, and even though earnings weren’t stellar, the price action has been solid. Covered call sellers may feel they missed the upside — but remember, you were protected on the way down.

Palantir (PLTR):
Another favorite of mine right now. Palantir has a beautiful double bottom/cup pattern forming and is approaching all-time highs. Price action is strong, and while I’d love to see more volume, the setup is bullish. Compare its chart to NVIDIA — it’s night and day.

Amazon (AMZN):
Not a great-looking chart. Amazon is in a downtrend and struggling to hold its 50-day moving average. Caution is warranted here.

Microsoft (MSFT):
Reported solid numbers, but not spectacular. The chart gapped up — and gaps often get filled. Watch for a potential pullback.

Meta (META):
Meta has a death cross on the chart — a technical signal where the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day. That’s not bullish, and volume isn't convincing enough to suggest a turnaround yet.

Alphabet (GOOGL):
Dealing with antitrust headwinds and a poor technical setup. It's had a bounce up to its 50-day MA, but this chart is weak. I’m not calling it a short, but it’s definitely not a buy right now.

💡 Key Takeaways

  • Green lights don’t guarantee long-term bullishness: The trend is up now, but macro concerns linger.

  • Don’t try to pick bottoms: Focus on strong setups like Palantir or MicroStrategy rather than guessing where Apple or NVIDIA might reverse.

  • Gaps matter: Watch for them to get filled — often a signal of a coming pullback.

  • Covered Calls = Income + Protection: The Cash Flow Machine approach works in up or down markets — just know the trade-offs when you're capped on upside.

  • Volume confirms moves: Many of the breakouts or bounces we’re seeing are lacking volume, so treat them with skepticism.

🧠 Conclusion 

This week’s pulse reveals a cautiously bullish environment — with short-term trends flashing green while the long-term picture remains uncertain. We’re seeing mixed signals across sectors and stocks, and now more than ever, it’s essential to trade what’s in front of you. Favor strength, avoid weakness, and if you're not sure, generate income through covered calls while you wait for clarity.

Bottom Line:
Stay with the trend, don’t chase weak setups, and keep generating income while managing your risk — the market may be green now, but discipline wins in the end.

Current Market Condition:

This week’s market update kicks off on a positive note as I highlight the emergence of a green market, signaling upward momentum across most sectors. We’ve had several strong days, with four green lights flashing on my indicators—suggesting we’re "off to the races." Although there was a red day in the mix, the overall trend remains bullish. I emphasize that while I’m not fully confident in the long-term sustainability of this market, the current trend is clear, and as traders, we follow trends rather than trying to pick tops and bottoms. With that in mind, I remain cautiously optimistic, taking advantage of the current upswing while staying mindful of potential reversals.

 

Stock Tip of the Week:

Did MicroStrategy Just Change Everything?
This week breaks down the big moves—including how a strategy roll on MSTR generated $15,444 in “juice” from covered calls. It’s a perfect example of how powerful this cash flow strategy can be, even in a volatile market. See how easy it is—and what’s next for MicroStrategy and other key stocks.

 

$11,000 Income While the Market Dropped?
In this video I reveal how my Juicy Put Strategy delivered over $11,000 in income—even as the market pulled back. It’s proof that you don’t need a rising market to generate consistent cash flow. See exactly how I did it—and how you can, too.
 
 
5 Reasons Your LEAPS Strategy Isn’t Working
In this video, I get real about my own LEAPS strategy—what’s gone wrong, what I’ve learned, and whether I can turn it around before it crashes completely. If you’re using long-dated options, you’ll want to see this breakdown.  Watch it here!