Insider Tips - Weekly Stock Market Report - Week January 19, 2026

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Insider Tips — January 19, 2026

In this week's Insider Tips, I walk through what continues to be a surprisingly strong and extended green market, even as headlines remain noisy and uncertain. Despite geopolitical worries and stretched conditions, the market is still melting up, with most major indexes holding or making new highs. Volatility remains low, money is flowing into hard assets like gold and silver, and leadership is emerging in semiconductors, energy, and AI. While some mega-cap tech names are showing consolidation or weakness, the broader message remains clear: we trade the market we have, not the one we fear, and right now, the trend is still up.

Expanded Market Breakdown

Technical Analysis & Market Structure

From a technical perspective, the market remains firmly in four green lights, and notably, this green phase has lasted roughly twice as long as normal. While extended trends often invite pullbacks, markets frequently climb a “wall of worry,” and that’s exactly what we’re seeing now.

S&P 500: Pushing into new highs and consolidating constructively at the top
Dow Jones Industrial Average: Also at new highs, holding firm
NYSE Composite: Breaking out to new highs, confirming broader participation
NASDAQ / QQQ: Lagging slightly, hovering near the 50-day moving average

This divergence raises a key question: will the NASDAQ drag the market down, or will the strength in the other indexes pull it higher? For now, the answer is status quo with upward bias.

Volatility remains muted, with the VIX around 16, signaling complacency rather than fear.

Market Trends & Macro Themes

Several important macro trends are shaping the landscape:

Liquidity & Currency Devaluation: Gold and silver are responding to ongoing monetary expansion and currency debasement
Risk Appetite: Low volatility suggests investors remain comfortable taking risk
Sector Leadership: Energy, semiconductors, fiber optics, mining, and select biotech names are leading

The surge in precious metals is particularly telling. Gold breaking to all-time highs and silver accelerating almost vertically reflects a classic Fed-driven trade.

Individual Stock Highlights

NVIDIA: Consolidating near the 50-day moving average; neither a buy nor a sell at the moment
Broadcom: Weak below the 50-day; I don’t buy stocks when they’re weak
AMD: Stronger than peers, now holding above the 50-day
TSMC: Powerful post-earnings gap, confirming semiconductor strength
Semiconductor Index: At all-time highs with upside momentum
Apple: Forming a dreaded “H” pattern, signaling potential downside risk
AppLovin: Extremely volatile; high relative strength but showing signs of fatigue
SoFi Technologies: Still stuck below the 50-day moving average
Tesla: Neutral, waiting for a catalyst
Eli Lilly: At highs but pulling back toward its 10-week moving average
Gold & Gold Miners: Breaking out to all-time highs
Silver: Near-vertical move; not a chase setup after such an extreme run

Breakout Candidates & Opportunities

Bloom Energy: Sitting at the top of a second-stage base near all-time highs, showing strong breakout potential
Alphabet: Rapidly emerging as an AI leader, leveraging massive cash flow and ecosystem strength to outpace competitors

I’m especially focused on Alphabet’s aggressive AI pivot, which positions it favorably against cash-burning rivals and gives it optionality for acquisitions down the road.

Key Takeaways

The market remains green, extended, but intact
Volatility is low, supporting continued upside
Semiconductors, energy, and precious metals are leading
Some mega-cap tech is consolidating, not collapsing
Discipline matters more than prediction in extended markets

Conclusion

This is still a beautiful green market, and my job is to respect it until it tells me otherwise. While conditions are stretched and pullbacks are inevitable at some point, there are no broad technical signals suggesting the trend has broken. Until the lights change, we stay disciplined, selective, and engaged.

Current Market Condition:

The market remains firmly green and has stayed that way longer than normal, which tells me underlying strength is still intact despite all the noise in the headlines. Even with geopolitical concerns and stretched conditions, price action continues to melt higher, volatility remains low, and leadership is broad enough to support the trend. Pullbacks are always possible in extended markets, but until the signals change, the path of least resistance remains higher.

Stock Tips This Week:

Risk Management IN Trading: Why Probability Beats Prediction

Most traders lose money not because they’re wrong—but because they’re focused on being right. In this video, I break down why successful trading is about probability, not prediction, and how professional traders manage risk, control emotions, and follow rules instead of opinions. You’ll learn how probability-based thinking, proper position sizing, and disciplined systems—like covered calls and income strategies—create consistency over time, even when individual trades don’t work out.

Podcast Episode This Week:

In this episode, I sit down with Robert Rolih, international best-selling author and long-term investing mentor, to uncover a hard truth most investors never hear: the biggest threat to your wealth may be the financial industry itself. We break down how hidden fees, conflicted advice, and poor incentives quietly drain portfolios over time. Robert shares his personal experience of losing 80% of his wealth, the lessons that reshaped his approach, and the simple, low-cost strategies everyday investors can use to take back control of their financial future.