Insider Tips - Weekly Stock Market Report - Week February 9, 2026
Insider Tips — February 9, 2026
This week’s Insider Tips is a reminder that you can be right on the market and still have a rough week in your portfolio—especially if you were heavy in tech. Mark pointed out last week that “the markets are cracking,” got some pushback… and then tech delivered a painful reminder that corrections and profit givebacks happen even inside a green market. The good news: by the end of the week, the Dow ripped higher (up ~1,000 points), and the big-picture “lights” flipped back to 4 green.
Technical Analysis & Market Structure
The market flashed mixed signals—then leaned bullish again.
- Market timing lights: After last week’s 3-green/1-red, we’re now back to 4 green lights, helped by strength in the NYSE Composite and Dow. Mark noted an “almost bullish engulfing” type move in the NYSE Composite as it pushed to all-time highs.
- NASDAQ: Still the weak link—below the 50-day moving average most of the week, which is not healthy.
- S&P 500: Sitting right at the 50-day—not great, not terrible, just “it is.”
- Dow Jones: Back at all-time highs on a strong up day and strong volume—signaling “don’t panic.”
- NYSE Composite: The big confirmation—breaking out to new highs on a strong volume candle.
Bottom line: Even with pain under the surface (especially in tech), 4 green lights skews the overall read back toward bullish—while still respecting the warning signs.
Volatility, Breadth, and Key Confirmations
- VIX: Spiked above 20 (above the mean) during the week—real panic showed up briefly—then cooled back down. That’s a “mixed signal” worth respecting.
- Dow Transports (Dow Theory): Strength here mattered—five strong days pushing highs, confirming “goods/services moving” = supportive for the broader market narrative.
Market Trends & Macro Themes
The Fed, Rates, and 2026 Themes
Mark’s “overriding theme” is the Fed: will they lower rates again, and when? He believes rate cuts are coming, and he even called out Kevin Warsh as someone he expects would be aligned with lowering rates.
Banking as a Theme
Mark reiterated a theme he’s watching this year: banks. In a lowering-rate environment, banks can benefit through cheaper capital, loan origination fees, and loan sales—potentially making the sector “accretive” if the rate cycle turns favorable.
Crypto Law + Adoption Reality
A new crypto law could create clarity, but Mark emphasized adoption takes time—even with fast-moving tech. Banks may eventually be forced to compete with crypto yields and provide infrastructure, but he doesn’t expect a rapid overnight shift.
Sector Shake-up: Software Gets Hit
One of the most important “under the hood” points: among 197 industries, the worst-ranked group was dominated by computer software—repeatedly. Mark’s takeaway: AI is starting to disrupt software-as-a-service and code creation, pressuring the sector in a way he called unusual historically.
Individual Stock Highlights
- Tesla: Dropped toward the 40-week moving average and looks like it may be rolling over. Mark loves the long-term concept, but said there aren’t great reasons to buy right now. He also noted Tesla is shifting factory capacity away from certain vehicle lines and toward Optimus robotic manufacturing, but questioned how quickly that can translate to bottom-line earnings.
- Apple: A smoother “covered call” type chart. Mark described it as building the right side of a cup base, running into some resistance, and potentially aiming toward all-time highs around 288.
- NVIDIA: Mark believes in AI—but won’t “talk NVIDIA” as a buy because it’s not at the right spot. It’s been in a ~14-week consolidation, flat around the 50-day. Great for some covered-call income, but not exciting for upside momentum right now.
- Microsoft: “In trouble” technically—now a full death cross (50 below 200). Mark pointed out the sharp drop from the 550s to under 400 and highlighted how the stock filled a prior gap almost to the penny (his classic gap-analysis point).
- Alphabet (Google): One of the stronger big-tech charts. It had an ugly earnings day that briefly dipped below the 50-day, but then reclaimed it. Mark wants to see confirmation via the close, but called it near a buy point in a second-stage base and said Google looks like the AI leader among the mega caps right now.
Key Takeaways
- The week felt brutal for tech—but the market’s “lights” returned to 4 green.
- NASDAQ weakness (below the 50-day) is the main caution flag.
- VIX > 20 briefly signaled real fear—mixed signals are rising.
- Watch banks if rate cuts come through.
- The “bottom industries” list is flashing a big warning: software is getting disrupted by AI.
- Stock selection matters: some names are consolidating (NVIDIA), some breaking down (Microsoft), some setting up (Google).
Conclusion
Mark’s message was straightforward: even in a green market, you’ll get ugly weeks—and when you do, the job is to stay disciplined, read the signals, and focus on where institutions are (or aren’t) pushing prices on volume. This week ended with bullish confirmation in the Dow and NYSE Composite, but the NASDAQ and volatility remind us that risk hasn’t disappeared—mixed signals are rising, so stay selective.
Current Market Condition:
The market remains green, supported by strength in the Dow and NYSE Composite, but the internal tape is mixed: NASDAQ weakness and a volatility spike showed real stress mid-week. The right posture is bullish-but-disciplined—stay selective, manage risk, and follow the signals.
Stock Tips This Week:
When Strong Markets Start to Crack: Defensive Covered Call Strategies Every Income Trader Must Know
In this video, Mark explains how strong markets transition before they break—why “cracks” show up under the surface first—and how income traders can shift from offense to defense using higher-delta, closer-to-the-money (or in-the-money) covered calls, smaller position sizing, and a clear circuit-breaker plan.
Amazon Stock Alert Before Earnings: Covered Call Strategies, Risks, and Income Opportunities
In this video, Mark walks through how to approach AMZN before earnings—balancing opportunity vs. event-risk—and outlines three covered call styles (defensive, max-income, and growth-with-income) so you can structure trades without trying to predict the post-earnings move.
5 Once-Great Stocks That Turned South: Warning Signs Every Trader Must Learn Before It’s Too Late
In this video, Mark breaks down five former leaders that rolled over—and the common warning signals (slowing growth, relative strength decay, institutional selling, breakdowns, “round trips,” and overhead supply) so you can spot trend failure early and protect capital.
Stop Leaving Money on the Table: 3 Covered Call Strategies for Different Market Conditions
In this video, Mark shows why one covered call method isn’t enough—and how to match strategy to the environment using the Fortress approach for volatile markets, Balance Point for sideways markets, and Rocket for bullish trends.
NU Stock Breakout Analysis: A Digital Banking Momentum Play with Covered Call Income Potential
In this video, Mark reviews Nu Holdings (NU) as a momentum/breakout setup—why strength near a pivot matters, what fundamentals support the move, and how income traders can layer covered calls on a growth stock while managing volatility.
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