Insider Tips - Weekly Stock Market Report - Week August 4, 2025

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Weekly Insider Tips - August 4, 2025

In this exclusive Insider Tips update, I let my members know we’ve shifted from a long green (bullish) streak to a yellow caution zone — and after today’s market action, we’re likely heading into a red (bearish) environment for the first time in about three months. Macroeconomic headwinds like new tariffs are putting downward pressure on the major indexes, and I emphasize that now is the time to protect capital and avoid digging a “hole” in your portfolio as we potentially transition into a corrective phase.

Technical & Macro Overview:
After enjoying nearly three straight months of green market conditions, we officially hit a yellow signal as of yesterday — and today’s market action looks decidedly negative. New tariffs have weighed on sentiment, global tensions are high, and we’re beginning to see market-wide weakness. The NASDAQ and S&P both printed bearish reversal candles and gapped down, while the Dow and NYSE are testing their 50-day moving averages. The VIX (our fear gauge) is spiking, signaling investors are pulling capital to the sidelines. All signs point toward increased downside pressure and a potential shift to a red market early next week.

Key Stocks & Setups:

Tesla (TSLA): Still trading within a broader sideways consolidation. Testing trendline support but undecided. Neutral until it resolves direction.
Nvidia (NVDA): Remains the strongest chart in the market. Likely due for a normal pullback — could test the $150 area if the market turns red, but structurally still bullish.
MicroStrategy (MSTR): Posted the largest earnings beat in history (48,000%), yet sold off and broke its 50-day moving average on huge volume — likely due to accounting changes. Expect consolidation around this level before the next move.
Palantir (PLTR): Earnings next week. Late-stage base = high risk. This is where big corrections often happen — either get defensive or stay out.
Apple (AAPL): Weak candle on earnings but still range-bound ($195–$216). September product cycle likely provides support — not overly concerned yet.
Amazon (AMZN): Heavy volume gap down to the 50-day MA – caution warranted, though longer-term fundamentals remain strong.
Alphabet (GOOGL): Forming a bullish cup-with-handle pattern. Selling puts below $180 could be a way to generate income if you’re comfortable.
Microsoft (MSFT): Massive run from $400 → $500. Now pulling back and likely wants to fill the gap near $400 if markets stay soft.

Key Takeaways:

Market Mood Shift: We are in yellow — and likely headed to red for the first time since April.
Technical Damage Increasing: Major indices are breaking or testing key moving averages. Volatility is expanding.
Stock-Specific Strength Still Exists: Leadership names like NVDA, MSFT, and GOOGL remain intact but may correct if the broader tape weakens.
Risk Management is Priority #1: Move to in-the-money covered calls, sell puts below support, or raise cash. Don’t dig a hole now — it takes time to climb out of it later.

Conclusion:
The honeymoon phase of the summer melt-up appears to be over. Defensive action is warranted as technical signals point toward a shift from yellow to red. Protect gains, tighten up risk, and live to fight another day.

Current Market Condition:

We’ve officially shifted into a yellow market after a long three-month run of green, signaling it’s time to move from offense to defense. The major indexes are starting to break down technically — with gap-downs, bearish reversal candles, rising volatility, and key tests of the 50-day moving averages — all suggesting downside momentum is building. While this isn’t a panic moment yet, it is a clear warning: protect your capital, tighten risk, and be prepared for a potential transition into a full red market as early as next week.

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Insider Tips - Weekly Stock Market Report - Week August 4, 2025

Weekly Insider Tips - August 4, 2025

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