Insider Tips - Weekly Stock Market Report - Week September 29, 2025

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Clearwater 2025 – Thank You!

What an incredible weekend at our Clearwater event. The energy, the connections, and the insights shared made it truly special. A huge thank you to everyone who joined us — you made it unforgettable. Below is a snapshot capturing the spirit of the event.

Overall Market Summary

The market is at an important inflection point. Over the past couple of weeks, we’ve seen some short-term weakness, but the broader trend remains bullish. The Fed recently cut rates by 25 basis points — a little late in my opinion — and they’re signaling two more cuts before year-end. That’s a lot of stimulus, and historically, it drives money into both stocks and hard assets like gold, silver, and Bitcoin.

Bottom line: this is a time to own assets. I expect volatility through the end of the year, but volatility inside of a bullish market. Protect your downside, but make sure you’re participating — because when liquidity sloshes into the system, the best-performing assets tend to take off.

Macro Trends & Fed Policy

Fed Action: 25 bps cut in place, 2 more expected. Stimulus = asset demand.
Inflation: Fed still behind the curve, but easing fuels bullish sentiment.
Volatility (VIX): Mid-teens (14–16), showing relatively low market fear.
Outlook: Expect choppiness, but trend remains up as liquidity builds.

Technical Analysis – Market Health

Indicators: 3 greens and 1 red. Momentum dipped, but strength is holding.
QQQ & NYSE: Both bounced off the 8- and 21-day moving averages after weakness — a bullish sign of resilience.
Overall: While we’ve had red days, the technicals show the market continues to defend important support levels.

Stock Spotlights (Leaders & Key Movers)

AppLovin (APP)
One of my favorites. I started a position around $420, and it’s now around $706. Incredible run. This stock was last year’s best performer and is making a bid for this year as well. It’s extended right now, but watch for a consolidation setup.

Nvidia (NVDA)
In a second-stage base, about 4% below breakout. These early-stage bases often lead to strong runs. Nvidia remains one of the world’s most valuable companies and a leader in AI.

Tesla (TSLA)
Broke out and quickly ran 20–25% from pivot. That triggers the 8-week hold rule — don’t sell too early. These are often the stocks that triple or quadruple.

Apple (AAPL)
Forming a long cup/consolidation with a $260 ceiling. With AI and Intel collaboration rumors, Apple has catalysts that could push it higher.

Google (GOOGL)
Clean breakout from $199, ran into profit zone. Solid strength, though late for new entries.

Meta (META)
Consolidating near its 50-day. Could form an early entry into a stage two base. Their VR push (MetaQuest glasses) shows where they’re headed.

Microsoft (MSFT)
Corrected 10% off highs, now stabilizing near the 50-day. Likely another buy setup forming in a second-stage base.

Blackstone (BX)
Broke out, pulled back, and tested the 50-day perfectly. Could be an early entry if strength holds.

Amazon (AMZN)
Failed breakout, now testing the 200-day. In the sell zone — not a great spot for new positions.

Palantir (PLTR)
Coming up the right side of a fifth-stage base — late and risky. Probabilities are lower here. I’m considering trimming my position.

Other Notables

MicroStrategy (MSTR): Hurt by Bitcoin weakness, hovering around $300.
Robinhood (HOOD), Hims & Hers (HIMS): Both holding near moving averages, still strong.
Gold (GLD): At all-time highs, continuing a powerful breakout trend.
High-Risk Plays (OCLO, Bitmine): Massive hockey-stick moves up and down. Risky without deep hedges or puts.

Key Takeaways

Fed liquidity is bullish for stocks, gold, and Bitcoin.
Market remains resilient, bouncing from support.
Leaders like AppLovin, Nvidia, Tesla, Apple, and Google are where to focus.
Be cautious with Amazon and Palantir.
Protect your downside, but ride winners when they show strength.

Conclusion

We’re still in a bullish market, fueled by the Fed’s stimulus. Yes, there will be volatility, but it’s volatility inside an uptrend. Leaders in tech and hard assets are showing strength, and this is a time to own the best names while managing your risk.

Current Market Condition:

The markets continued their upward momentum this week, with the Dow climbing 2.5% and the S&P 500 up 1.6%, fueled by optimism around the Federal Reserve’s decision to hold rates steady. That move signaled confidence in the path of inflation without threatening growth, giving investors the green light to keep buying. Strength showed up across tech and financials, while energy cooled slightly, and chart patterns suggest the rally still has legs — though this is a moment for disciplined participation, not reckless chasing.

Stock Tip of the Week:

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Note from Mark

This past weekend in Clearwater was more than just an event — it was an experience. We gathered as a community of like-minded investors, dreamers, and doers who are serious about building freedom lifestyles. The conversations sparked new ideas, the sessions brought clarity, and the energy in the room was something you simply can’t capture on a recording.

What stood out most to me was watching people have those “lightbulb moments” — the kind where a strategy clicks, or a plan suddenly feels within reach. Those breakthroughs don’t just happen in isolation; they happen when we come together, share openly, and support each other’s growth.

If you were with us in Clearwater, thank you for bringing your energy and commitment. If you couldn’t make it this time, we missed you — and I truly encourage you to join us next time. Because it’s not just about learning strategies, it’s about being part of a community that lifts you higher.

Until then, stay focused, stay disciplined, and of course… squeeze the juice! 🍊

— Mark