Insider Tips - Weekly Stock Market Report - Week December 1, 2025
INSIDER TIPS — December 1, 2025
In this week’s Insider Tips, I walk through a market that’s shifting back toward green as we head into a new month. After several weeks of choppy red-green-yellow signals, the major indices have rebounded strongly, reclaiming their 50-day moving averages and showing improving momentum. With the Fed meeting approaching, expectations for another rate cut are supporting this bounce. I break down the technical picture across the QQQ, S&P, Dow, and NYSE, and then move into individual stock setups—from Apple’s breakout to NVIDIA’s weakness and Palantir’s late-stage struggle. Overall, it’s a constructive week, but still a market where selectivity matters.
Technical Analysis & Market Trends
We’re coming off Thanksgiving with the markets showing fresh strength. After weeks of alternating colors—red, green, yellow—the system has once again fired four green lights, signaling the possibility of another leg higher.
The technical shift is clear:
Major Indices
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QQQ:
After dipping below the 50-day moving average for nearly a week, QQQ successfully reclaimed the line—a key bullish signal. As I often say: good things happen above the 50; bad things happen below it.
The rebound is likely supported by growing expectations surrounding the upcoming Fed meeting. -
S&P 500 (SPY):
Very similar setup—clean rebound, small gap-up, and follow-through.
Today is a half-day of trading, so volume is muted, but staying above the 50 keeps the bullish case intact. -
Dow Jones:
The Dow looks almost identical technically, but what stands out is the NYSE Composite, which is sitting just shy of all-time highs. That’s an unusually broad sign of market strength. -
VIX:
The volatility index is breaking lower, back toward the 16.8 level, beneath its 50-day moving average.
Lower VIX = calmer markets = supportive for upside.
Macro Backdrop
The Fed remains the biggest wildcard.
We’ve seen mixed unemployment data: some disappointing, some mildly strong. Inflation numbers remain in the range the Fed is claiming is acceptable—though I note in the video that I don’t trust their accounting.
More importantly:
The banking system and the Fed itself are under financial pressure.
Reverse repo drains, deficits, and refinancing risks make it more likely the Fed cuts rates again. Market odds show roughly an 86% chance of a quarter-point reduction.
That expectation is helping fuel the recent bounce.
Individual Stocks & Setups
Apple (AAPL)
Breaking out above the $260 level, finally giving several weeks of accumulation opportunities. If you didn’t grab it during the basing structure, you may have missed the optimal entry, but the chart remains strong.
NVIDIA (NVDA)
Short-term downtrend.
Currently under the 50-day moving average.
I like NVIDIA long-term—but I won’t touch it until it gets back above the 50 or shows strong volume supporting a reversal.
Tesla (TSLA)
Choppy consolidation.
Not much news, not much direction.
But historically, Tesla surprises when nobody expects it—so keep it on the radar.
MicroStrategy (MSTR)
After months of one-up-day/one-down-day action, we may finally get two consecutive green days, something we haven’t seen in almost two months.
Still highly volatile, but constructive.
AppLovin (APP)
Trading under the 50 and struggling with low volume.
Watch the $67.50 level—needs strong volume to break that area and open the door to $74.50.
iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT)
Gapped up today but remains below the 50.
This ETF is a proxy for Bitcoin itself, and Bitcoin likely needs to retake $100,000–105,000 before IBIT sees healthier technical momentum.
Palantir (PLTR)
I’ve warned for months about this being a late-stage Stage 5 base, and that’s exactly how it’s behaving.
Three weeks under the 50.
Multiple high-volume selling days.
Very tough place to make money.
Broadcom (AVGO)
Beautiful, strong three-day run with solid action through Thanksgiving week.
A standout performer.
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM)
Back above the 50 after forming a bottom.
Could be setting up for a later-stage breakout toward the $311 level.
Worth putting on a watchlist.
Microsoft (MSFT)
Perfect bounce off the 200-day moving average, followed by a gap-up.
Now pushing to retest the 50-day.
Not out of the woods, but the reaction at the 200-day was very bullish.
Key Takeaways
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Market lights are green again after weeks of choppy rotation.
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Most major indices have reclaimed their 50-day moving averages, a critical technical improvement.
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Fed expectations—particularly the high probability of a rate cut—are providing tailwinds.
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Leadership remains selective: A few stocks are breaking out (Apple, Broadcom), while others are lagging (NVIDIA, Palantir, IBIT).
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Watch the NYSE Composite—it’s extremely close to all-time highs, signaling broad underlying strength.
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Continue practicing disciplined entries: Right Stock, Right Market, Right Spot on the Chart.
Conclusion
As we wrapped up November, the data is leaning toward a renewed green market, but the backdrop is still fragile enough to require disciplined decision-making. With the Fed meeting approaching and several indices showing technical improvement, we have constructive momentum heading into December. Selectivity remains essential—stick with stocks above their moving averages, avoid late-stage bases, and stay patient for clean breakouts.
Wishing everyone a great weekend with family and loved ones, and I’ll see you next week for another Insider Tips update.
Current Market Condition:
In this week’s Insider Tips, I highlight how the market is shifting back toward a green environment after several weeks of choppy red–green–yellow rotation. All four lights in the system have turned green again, showing renewed strength as the major indices—QQQ, S&P 500, Dow, and even the broadly based NYSE—have rebounded and reclaimed their 50-day moving averages. The NYSE is sitting just shy of an all-time high, the VIX has dropped back below its 50-day line, and the market is responding positively to expectations of another Fed rate cut. While we’re not at all-time highs yet, the technicals are improving, and momentum is shifting back in favor of the bulls as we head into a new month.
Stock Tips This Week:
If you’ve ever wanted a clear, repeatable way to generate monthly income from your investments, this is the video you don’t want to miss. I’m breaking down the Cash Flow Method — the simple, rules-based framework I use to turn stocks into a consistent income machine. You’ll see how the four cornerstones work together, how to pick smarter strikes, and how to create predictable cash flow in any market without guessing or gambling. If you’re ready to bring structure, confidence, and real control to your portfolio, hit play — this is where it starts.
If you’re selling covered calls but not getting the results you want, this video is a must-watch. I reveal the real reasons most traders unknowingly lose money — and more importantly, the rules-based approach that helps create steadier, more predictable income. You’ll discover the five silent profit-killers that derail covered call strategies, and how a disciplined, in-the-money framework can protect your downside, reduce volatility, and keep your cash flow on track. If you want clearer rules, fewer surprises, and a smarter way to generate income, this is the video that shows you exactly where to start.
Updates ~ My 2 Cents:
If you’ve been wondering whether the banking system is cracking beneath the surface — this video is your wake-up call. I break down the warning signs most investors never see, from evaporating liquidity to soaring government debt and rising stress in private credit. More importantly, I show you what these signals actually mean for your money and the smart steps you can take to stay protected. If you want a clear, no-nonsense roadmap for navigating whatever comes next, this is the video to watch.
