Insider Tips - Weekly Stock Market Report - Week December 29, 2025

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Insider Tips — December 29, 2025

In this final Insider Tips of the year, I walk through why the market remains firmly green despite light holiday trading and constant noise in the headlines. All major indexes continue to sit at or near all-time highs, supported by falling interest rates, global money printing, and historically low volatility. Rather than predicting what happens next, I stay focused on probabilities, discipline, and following a proven plan. Some stocks are setting up well, others are flashing warning signs—but the core message remains unchanged: protect capital, manage risk, and stay aligned with the primary trend while it’s still working.

Market Trends & Technical Analysis

From a big-picture perspective, the market remains in a primary uptrend. All four major indexes are holding near all-time highs, even as volume dries up into year-end. That tells me price still matters more than participation.

The underlying driver continues to be liquidity. Central banks are easing, rates are coming down, and money printing remains the dominant force. When currencies are devalued, asset prices rise—it’s simple math. That’s why equities, gold, and other hard assets continue to benefit.

Volatility, measured by the VIX, is sitting near its lowest levels of the year, signaling low fear and stable conditions. Low volatility supports income strategies, but it also means complacency can creep in quickly—another reason discipline matters.

While the NASDAQ is lagging slightly due to mega-cap consolidation, it’s still constructive. The S&P 500, Dow, and especially the NYSE continue to confirm market strength. I don’t predict breakouts—I play probabilities—and right now, those probabilities remain green.

Individual Stock & Asset Commentary

Apple (AAPL)
Apple is pulling back in a healthy way toward its 50-day moving average after a massive run. The bounce looks constructive, though relative strength has cooled into the 70s. This feels more like digestion than distribution.
AppLovin (APP)
AppLovin continues to impress, trading above its breakout zone with strong relative strength. It’s been one of the better performers this year and remains technically sound.
NVIDIA (NVDA)
NVIDIA triggered my circuit breaker earlier, and I stuck to the plan—even though price later moved higher. This was a textbook reminder of why rules matter more than hindsight.
Tesla (TSLA)
Tesla is hovering near all-time highs but remains in a late-stage structure. There are gaps below that I don’t love. The stock needs clarity before it becomes actionable for me.
Microsoft (MSFT)
Microsoft is bouncing off the 200-day but remains under the 50-day. I hold a small position, but it needs more work before adding.
SPDR Gold Shares (GLD)
Gold continues to make new highs, reflecting currency debasement and global uncertainty. The trend remains strong.
Broadcom (AVGO)
Broadcom is one to watch into 2026, but currently sits below its 50-day moving average—never a place I want to be aggressively involved.
iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT)
Bitcoin-related assets are struggling, with weak structure and a potential death cross forming. This chart needs significant repair.
Hims & Hers Health (HIMS)
This chart is forming what I call the “dreaded H pattern.” If support breaks, significantly lower prices could follow.
SoFi Technologies (SOFI)
SoFi is mixed—strong relative strength but trading under the 50-day on low volume. One to monitor, not chase.
Palantir Technologies (PLTR)
Palantir remains a late-stage breakout and a chase at current levels. If you’re involved, stops are essential.

Key Takeaways

The primary market trend remains green
Liquidity and falling rates continue to support asset prices
Low volatility favors income strategies—but demands discipline
Stocks under their 50-day moving average remain higher risk
Capital preservation and circuit breakers are non-negotiable
Execution matters more than prediction

Conclusion & Short Summary

As we close out the year, the market continues to reward discipline, patience, and rule-based execution. While conditions remain favorable, complacency is the real risk. Going into the new year, my focus stays the same: follow the trend, manage risk, protect capital, and stay unemotional.

Current Market Condition:

The market continues to flash green as all major indexes sit at or near all-time highs, even with light holiday trading and low volume. Price action remains strong, volatility is muted, and the primary trend is still intact. Falling interest rates and ongoing global liquidity support higher asset prices, reinforcing that the path of least resistance remains up. While the market may be getting extended in the short term, the probabilities still favor bullish conditions, making discipline and alignment with the trend more important than trying to predict a top.

Stock Tips This Week:

Results Are In: The Top 10 Stocks of 2025 (And Why They Won)

In this video, I review the top-performing stocks of 2025 and explain why a small group of well-positioned names far outperformed the broader market. I break down the shared chart traits, sector themes, and why discipline, probabilities, and weekly cash-flow strategies mattered more than prediction.

Did NVIDIA Just Crush the AI Competition

In this video, I break down NVIDIA’s $20B acquisition of Groq and what it means for the future of AI inference. I cover the strategic upside, competitive risks, and how this deal could reshape NVIDIA’s moat as AI shifts from training to real-world deployment—along with what it may mean for NVDA stock going forward.

As we wrap up 2025

Year-End Message

As we close out the year, I just want to say thank you. Thank you for your trust, your engagement, and your commitment to learning how to navigate the markets with discipline instead of emotion. This year reminded us that markets reward preparation, rules, and patience—not predictions. As we head into 2026, my focus remains the same: protect capital, follow the plan, and stay aligned with the trend while consistently generating cash flow. I’m grateful to have you on this journey, and I’m excited for what’s ahead. Here’s to continued growth, clarity, and squeezing more juice together in the year ahead.