Insider Tips - Weekly Stock Market Report - Week April 28, 2025

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Weekly Insider Tips - April 28, 2025

Welcome back and thanks for being here!

I'm seeing some encouraging signs in the market for the bulls, even though I'm still a little short and making money on the downside. The momentum is starting to shift upward, but I’m not ready to get overly excited just yet. Some technical signals are still concerning, like death crosses on key indices and major stocks. While a few individual names like Palantir, MicroStrategy, and Netflix are showing strength, many others like Apple, NVIDIA, Tesla, and Amazon are struggling. Overall, the market feels like it's in a transitional phase — we could break higher, or we could roll back down. For now, I'm cautiously watching, building my buy and short lists, and sticking to my system.

Technical Analysis

The market has shown some positive momentum recently with three green lights and one red on the weekly indicator. However, strength is still questionable. On key charts like the NASDAQ, S&P 500, Dow, and NYSE Composite, we're seeing death crosses — where the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day — a bearish technical indicator suggesting sellers are still in control.

The NASDAQ, after bouncing weakly from support, is now facing tough resistance. The infamous "dreaded H" pattern has formed and broken down, reinforcing caution. We need a strong breakout above resistance levels to regain bullish conviction. Otherwise, a continued consolidation or even further downside remains a strong possibility.

Volatility has dropped from a peak of 60 to around 25 — a good sign — but it needs to settle closer to 20 for true market confidence to return.

Market Trends

Despite some recent green days, the overall market remains in a yellow light phase — signaling caution. We're at a pivotal point where the market could either resume an uptrend or roll over again. There's still a lot of fear on the sidelines, keeping many investors hesitant.

The general trend remains indecisive: some recovery signs, but many major indices and stocks are still below critical resistance levels with weak volume, a key warning flag.

Individual Stock Analysis

Apple (AAPL): Weak chart. Struggling under resistance after a steep fall. Death cross present. Not a stock I would currently want to buy.
NVIDIA (NVDA): Also showing weakness. Can't even touch its 50-day moving average. Volume is low and conviction is lacking.
MicroStrategy (MSTR): Stronger. Bounced well off the 200-day moving average. Some decent momentum toward $442, although volume isn’t perfect.
Palantir (PLTR): Very strong. Bounced without even touching the 200-day MA, built a base, and broke out cleanly. One of the better looking charts right now.
Tesla (TSLA): Weak. Earnings declining, political issues, and general chart breakdown. Needs significant improvement before becoming attractive again.
Amazon (AMZN): Another dog chart. Death cross forming. Fundamental risks from trade and pricing pressures reinforce the technical weakness.
Netflix (NFLX): Bright spot! Gorgeous double-bottom breakout pattern. Up about 10% already after a breakout. Great chart and strong action.
Microsoft (MSFT): Weak chart. Bouncing into resistance but not enough volume to sustain a rally. Likely heading lower again.

Key Takeaways

Stick to strong stocks with strong technicals like Palantir and Netflix, and avoid weak setups like Apple, Tesla, and Amazon.
Volume matters: Many recent up days lack the heavy buying needed for sustained rallies.
Watch the indices closely: Unless the NASDAQ and S&P 500 break convincingly above key resistance levels, caution is warranted.
Stay objective: Emotions — especially fear and euphoria — drive the markets, but they cloud judgment. Intelligence and system-driven strategies are crucial.

Conclusion

The market is improving, but it's not out of the woods yet. While some individual stocks show strong setups, many major names and indices remain technically weak. I’m treating this phase with caution, watching for real strength to confirm before getting fully bullish. It's a transition period — a pivotal moment where preparation is key. I'm staying patient, following my system, and getting ready to either act bullishly if the market confirms strength or defensively if it rolls over again.

Current Market Condition:

Right now, I’m finally seeing the market start to move in the right direction if you’re a bull. We've had three green lights and one red, which is a positive sign, but I’m still urging caution. In my view, we’re not seeing the kind of strength I’d like yet — we’re just testing prior highs, not blowing through them like a strong market would. Even though things look better on the surface, I believe we’re still officially in a " light-yellow" market. That means we’re in a transition phase, and while we could shift to a full green market soon, we could just as easily reverse and head back down. So I’m staying alert, preparing both my buy list and my short list.

Stock Tip of the Week:

How I Locked In $9,600 Early on MSTR 🚀

In this update, I walk you through a real trade where I rolled my MicroStrategy (MSTR) position early — locking in $9,600 in profits and setting up for even more income. 📈 MSTR is moving higher, and by using a simple early roll strategy, I’m capturing gains and staying ahead of the market.
Watch the video to see exactly how I did it — and how you can apply the same principles to boost your passive income!

Protecting Profits on VLO Before Earnings 📊

In this update, I show you how I’m managing my Valero (VLO) position ahead of earnings by rolling my options to protect profits and minimize risk. 🛡️ It’s all part of the strategy to keep generating passive income while staying smart around earnings events. Check out the video to see exactly how I’m handling it!

How I Made $13K Even as the Market Dropped! 💰

When markets fall, most people panic — but with the right strategy, you can actually make great money. In this week’s video, I show you how I generated $13,000 using my "Juicy Put" strategy. 🍋📈
It’s a simple, powerful way to create passive income, even in tough markets. Watch and see exactly how I did it!

Podcast this Week:

In this episode of the Wealth Architect Podcast, Mark Yegge sits down with Casey Gregersen, founder of Big Horn Capital Fund and former petroleum engineer, to explore how skills from the oil and gas world can translate into real estate investing success.

You'll hear how Casey helps high-earning professionals build wealth through strategic real estate — plus tips on raising capital, managing properties remotely, and creating financial freedom.